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Michael Oliver: Gold Could Hit $9,000 as Bonds Break
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:02lesson
Macro trends and sector leadership
- Macro focus on AI and semiconductors
- Historical sector leadership on upside and downside
- Financials and US T-Bonds as key focus
- Failed to correct in price/yields
- Fed buying bonds but prices down, yields up
2:05lesson
Dollar index and yen dynamics
- Dollar index as inverted euro-yen chart
- Euro recovery and bearish on dollar index
- Yen as weak component supporting dollar
- Yen turning up, dollar may weaken
- Dollar as relative value, not true value
4:08lesson
Momentum and price chart analysis
- Textbook bear flag pattern
- Dollar may break down to 70 level
- Price chart lagging momentum
- Yen contributing to dollar weakness
- Dollar non-event for years, may become event
5:51lesson
Inflation and money supply growth
- M2 money supply growth at 8.62%
- Inflation as money supply vertical growth
- Fed printing money to prevent collapse
- Commodities and stocks as beneficiaries
- Stock market bubble on edge of downturn
7:50lesson
Commodities and asset rotation
- Commodities overlooked in inflation
- Money moving to stocks, now to commodities
- Bloomberg commodity index as good broad index
- Commodities in sync with gold and silver
- Commodities as cheap and upside potential
10:06lesson
Chart patterns and market structure
- Cup and handle pattern breaking out
- Bloomberg commodity index breaking 2008 high
- Commodities in second major upwave
- Commodity-related stocks as investment
- Gold and silver as prime alternatives
12:15lesson
Commodity and gold dynamics
- Gold and silver in long-term uptrend
- Bloomberg commodity index joining gold
- Money moving out of paper assets
- Gold as prime alternative to bonds
- Commodities and gold in sync
14:29lesson
Bloomberg and oil dynamics
- Bloomberg commodity index breaking out
- Oil lagging behind Bloomberg surge
- War not necessarily driving oil prices
- Oil moves with commodity complex
- Gold and silver leading commodity complex
16:27lesson
Gold and silver momentum
- Gold and silver in long-term uptrend
- Gold's eightfold move vs. fourfold now
- Silver supply demand deficit for six years
- Silver's pullback as intermediate correction
- Silver to outperform gold in next move
18:20lesson
Silver and base metals
- Silver's 10fold range from 1980 to 2011
- Silver's price only 15 cents higher than 1980
- Base metals up 4-6 times from 1980
- Silver's pullback as intermediate correction
- Silver to lead next move with gold and miners
20:22lesson
Gold and silver fundamentals
- Gold's 8fold move from 1980 to 2011
- Gold's current fourfold move
- Government debt crisis driving gold
- Silver's supply demand deficit
- Silver to outperform gold in next move
22:22lesson
Silver and base metals
- Silver's 10fold range from 1980 to 2011
- Silver's price only 15 cents higher than 1980
- Base metals up 4-6 times from 1980
- Silver's pullback as intermediate correction
- Silver to lead next move with gold and miners
24:33lesson
Silver and base metals
- Silver's 10fold range from 1980 to 2011
- Silver's price only 15 cents higher than 1980
- Base metals up 4-6 times from 1980
- Silver's pullback as intermediate correction
- Silver to lead next move with gold and miners
26:36lesson
Silver and base metals
- Silver's 10fold range from 1980 to 2011
- Silver's price only 15 cents higher than 1980
- Base metals up 4-6 times from 1980
- Silver's pullback as intermediate correction
- Silver to lead next move with gold and miners
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