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Who will build KSM?

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ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00Seabridge· ticker

Seabridge — 9 cents per $1 NPV, 10% KSM builder chance

  • NPV at $4,000 gold = 9 cents per $1
  • Market assigns ~10% probability KSM finds builder
  • Speculation: Newmont with Bruce Jack/Red Chris in vicinity
0:01Newmont· ticker

Newmont — gold producer with regional investment

  • Gold trades at higher cash flow multiple than copper
  • Only major gold producer with regional investment = Newmont
  • Bidder likely gold producer, not copper producer
0:02lesson

Auction dynamics — single bidder reduces time pressure

  • Single bidder eliminates auction structure
  • Time pressure lower at $4,000 gold vs $5,500
  • Bidder may wait for gold price rise before acting
0:03gold· ticker

Gold — $4,000 price impacts project timing

  • Upfront capex exceeds $7B
  • Mining industry cites 8% annual capex inflation
  • Gold price rise triggers urgent action

Informational only — this is In it to Win it’s content, decoded by Plutus. Not Paid Daily’s advice or a recommendation. The outline, timestamps, and claims are extracted from what the creator said; verify before acting.