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QuantInsti Quantitative Learning

Market Regime Trading Strategies | New Course

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 3:23
Chapters5 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Why strategies fail in live markets

  • Strategies backtest well but fail live
  • John built momentum strategy on S&P 500
  • Backtest looked great but live results flat
  • Mary tried mean reversion, same issue
  • Strategies work in some conditions, not others
2:21lesson

Introducing market regimes

  • Markets settle into patterns called regimes
  • Calm regimes: small daily moves, steady rise
  • Stressed regimes: big daily moves, price swings
  • Many factors move together in stressed regimes
  • Course calls these stretches regimes
2:22lesson

Building adaptive strategies

  • John spots market regime and holds assets accordingly
  • Starts with simple rule
  • Builds models with probabilities
  • Tests models on real data before and after costs
  • Discards models that don't beat simple rule
2:23lesson

Portfolio allocation and checks

  • Spreads money across stocks, bonds, gold, cash
  • Ends with monthly checks and logs
  • One result looks too good
  • Asks if result could have been known at time
2:24lesson

Course audience and disclaimer

  • Course for Python readers who built strategies
  • Strategies may fail when market conditions change
  • Learn to tell conditions using known info
  • Educational only, no financial advice
  • Past results don't predict future

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