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FOMC Volatility Coming
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
FOMC event and market anticipation
- FOMC event significant as markets in constricting ranges
- Market pricing in 87% probability of rate hike
- Volatility expected if no hike occurs
- Ranges breaking to dictate momentum into Q4 2026
1:47lesson
Tightening ranges and market equilibrium
- NASDAQ in tight range with 3% range
- Historic sideways range leading to volatility
- Active traders should trade less in tight ranges
- Swing trades follow through when ranges break
3:48lesson
Weekly and daily equilibrium patterns
- Weekly higher low set technically
- Break of range to zoom out context
- S&P 500 testing weekly EMA 12
- Weekly uptrend with potential for higher low
5:47lesson
Tightening ranges and market reactions
- SMH in sideways tightening range
- Break expected in September or early October
- Significant information when range breaks
- Potential for bearish move if range breaks bare
7:52lesson
Monthly and weekly range analysis
- IGV weakening with daily downtrend
- Monthly range shaping up by end of year
- Bears need to take out weekly support of 9972
- Software bears taking over for monthly lower high
9:54lesson
Nasdaq components and market trends
- MAGS strongest in short term near all-time high
- Nvidia double topped at all-time high
- Potential head and shoulders pattern
- Bulls trying to form weekly higher low
11:59lesson
Sector analysis and weekly EMA 12
- XLF and XLV lead sector bulls hitting all-time highs
- Weekly EMA 12 support for weekly bull flag
- S&P 500 weaker than NASDAQ due to consolidation
- Weekly higher low most likely scenario
14:19lesson
Volatility and volume spikes
- Volatility and volume spike coming as summer lull ends
- Ranges breaking to create trading opportunities
- Waiting for direction of tightening range break
- Catalyst upcoming with FOMC event
16:20lesson
Megaphone pattern and market reactions
- Megaphone pattern when bull/bear break no follow through
- Silver and gold looking for weekly higher lows
- Gold more important than silver
- Oil potential monthly lower high
18:25lesson
Oil and energy sector analysis
- Oil potential monthly lower high due to retracement
- USO already broke bull, focus on futures
- Energy sector relative weakness to oil
- XLE runner position with tight stop
20:18lesson
Energy sector and stop management
- Energy sector bulls anticipating monthly lower high
- XLE runner position with stop under 63.38
- Relative weakness to oil over last two weeks
- Willing to sit through weekly consolidation
22:16lesson
Market anticipation and volatility
- Ranges constricting for six weeks
- FOMC event and potential volatility in September/October
- Volatility, volume, and trading opportunity increasing
- Taking it one day at a time
Informational only — this is The Chart Guys’s content, decoded by Plutus. Not Paid Daily’s advice or a recommendation. The outline, timestamps, and claims are extracted from what the creator said; verify before acting.