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Do or Die Time For Semiconductors
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Semiconductor rotation and key levels
- Semiconductors in memory-driven rally at key shift spot
- Rotation in markets, healthy overall
- SMH testing weekly 12 EMA, lost since April 2025
- SMH QQQ ratio riding clean since tariff lows
- Fractal nature of markets, zoom out to next time frame
2:03SMH· ticker
SMH - weekly 12 EMA and consolidation
- SMH weekly 12 EMA test, potential monthly consolidation
- Correlation with Cosby, monthly consolidation underway
- Ratio chart key for character shift
- Weekly EMA loss signals monthly consolidation
4:14MU· ticker
MU - weekly 12 EMA and support
- MU clear support line, weekly 12 EMA coming back
- TSM, LRCX, AMD weekly 12 EMA holding
- AMD holding better than peers
- Potential laggered bear for semiconductors
6:11INTC· ticker
INTC - weekly support and head and shoulders
- INTC testing weekly support at 9833
- Hold implies head and shoulders formation
- Monthly consolidation shaping up
- Market moves in follow-the-leader fashion
8:19NBDA· ticker
NBDA - MAGS correlation and weekly lower high
- NBDA trading like MAGS, not semiconductors
- Weekly lower high resistance near 21399
- Correlational element with MAGS
- Daily uptrend guide for MAGS
10:29XLF· ticker
XLF - monthly 12 EMA and relative weakness
- XLF monthly 12 EMA rider, new all-time highs
- Relative weakness if monthly EMA rejected
- Potential status quo shift if EMA passed
- Daily uptrend guide for ratio chart
12:30IGV· ticker
IGV - weekly 12 EMA and consolidation
- IGV bulls bounce to regain uptrend or bears confirm downtrend
- Weekly lower high resistance at 10806
- Potential weekly downtrend or uptrend
- Follow-through needed for shift
14:44S&P 500· ticker
S&P 500 - sideways and rising wedge
- S&P 500 sideways, weekly 12 EMA rider
- Rising wedge if higher highs without follow-through
- Bears playing defense to tighten range
- Clarity on smaller time frames
16:53lesson
Fractal spreads and nested time frames
- Fractal spreads: 15-min to hourly, hourly to 4-hour, 4-hour to daily
- Nested time frames for clarity in sideways markets
- Russian doll analogy for nested time frames
- Avoid trending tactics on single fractal spreads
19:17GDX· ticker
GDX - falling wedge and bullish divergence
- GDX falling wedge with clean reactions
- Volume profile acting as support
- Bullish ratio divergence with GLD
- Higher lows while GDX has lower lows
21:25CVX· ticker
CVX - monthly 12 EMA bounce and support
- CVX dipping into buy zone, backtesting support
- Potential resistance if bulls crack through
- Monthly bounce if bulls prove it
- Swing report dashboard for plays
23:35BTC· ticker
BTC - weekly 12 EMA and ratios
- BTC weekly 12 EMA rider to downside
- Bitcoin NASDAQ ratio weekly 12 EMA
- Bulls need to prove shift for character change
- Lower lows without follow-through
25:37ETH· ticker
ETH - balance and relative strength
- ETH in five-year balance, long off lows, short off highs
- Lower lows without follow-through
- Potential quarterly higher low if bulls confirm
- ETHBTC tightening range for sustained strength
27:45SPCX· ticker
SPCX - daily stairstep and consolidation
- SPCX daily stairstep, sideways range
- Long off lows, short off highs
- Weekly lower high if range breaks
- Monthly consolidation potential
30:13TAN· ticker
TAN - daily 12 EMA and monthly consolidation
- TAN daily 12 EMA resistance, focus on higher lows
- Monthly consolidation expected, not yet entered
- Hedges needed for active traders
- Respect market rotation and prepare for shifts
Informational only — this is The Chart Guys’s content, decoded by Plutus. Not Paid Daily’s advice or a recommendation. The outline, timestamps, and claims are extracted from what the creator said; verify before acting.