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Crypto Capital Venture

Crypto Is Crashing Into The Election... I’m NOT Worried (Here’s Why)

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ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Bitcoin's weekly chart context

  • Bitcoin printing five weekly red candles
  • Midterm election day impact
  • Macro business cycle expanding
  • ISM PMI above 55
  • Zoom out to weekly chart
1:34lesson

Crypto market cap structure

  • Similar structure to 2022 bottom
  • Bullish divergence on RSI
  • Inverse head and shoulders setup
  • Waiting for target confirmation
3:20lesson

Crypto market cap consolidation

  • Five to six-year consolidation range
  • Business cycle turning up
  • Accumulation range for altcoins
  • Quantitative tightening context
5:09lesson

Bitcoin weekly chart analysis

  • Testing 50-week moving average
  • 20-week moving average support
  • Waiting for 20-week to cross 50-week
  • Historical bull market reference
6:50lesson

Bitcoin daily chart context

  • Room for downside below 200-day MA
  • Fibonacci support at 67k-72k
  • Higher low support area
  • Potential bounce if support holds
8:46lesson

Bitcoin momentum analysis

  • RSI not oversold yet
  • Potential $70k support
  • Bounce to test neckline
  • Inverse head and shoulders speculation
10:26lesson

Ethereum chart setup

  • Higher low Fibonacci fail-safe
  • Capitulation in June with 4 red candles
  • Inverse head and shoulders setup
  • Potential test of previous lows
12:09lesson

Ethereum moving average context

  • Between 20-week and 50-week MA
  • Fibonacci support at 2000-2100
  • Weekly candle closing above 2300
  • Volatility from election outcomes
13:56lesson

RSI and MACD momentum

  • Higher high, higher low RSI action
  • MACD above signal line in June 2026
  • Similar to 2020 bull market shift
  • Business cycle alignment with RSI
15:49lesson

Business cycle and market pivot

  • Expansion phase since September
  • Identifying overbought conditions
  • Patience needed for bull market pivot
  • Volatility expected in short term

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