Paid Daily · Resources · Ask Plutus
Crypto’s Next GOLDEN ERA Begins Now! And The Economy Just Flipped (Get Ready)
NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 8:17
Chapters12 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Bitcoin pattern after midterms
- Bitcoin never had red year after midterm
- 2011 up 1400%
- 2015 up 35%
- 2019 up 90%
- 2023 up 155%
2:01lesson
Market behavior during uncertainty
- Markets hate uncertainty
- Midterm uncertainty causes capital to sit
- Uncertainty clears post-vote
- Capital returns to risk assets
4:04lesson
Stock market performance post-midterms
- S&P 500 higher one year after every midterm
- 20 out of 20 regardless of party
- Binance Research calls post-midterm strongest stretch
5:52lesson
Bitcoin struggles in midterm years
- Bitcoin struggles in midterm years
- Major bottom before or around vote
- 2018 dropped 45% post-election
- 2022 second quantitative tightening
7:48lesson
Business cycle drives crypto
- Business cycle drives crypto more than anything
- CCV index confirmed expansion after 51 months
- Three months above 51 for expansion
- August 55.2, September 53.2, October over 51
7:49lesson
Historical expansions and bull runs
- 2017 bull run inside expansion
- 2021 bull run inside expansion
- Current expansion just started
- October almost done, four of five districts positive
7:50lesson
Bitcoin bull markets and cycle timing
- Bitcoin bull markets when cycle already hot
- Current cycle early, not late
- Economy held breath for 51 months
- Room to run in cycle
7:51lesson
Midterm vs. business cycle
- Midterm years are different
- Having is a calendar event
- Business cycle is the engine
- Engine just starting
7:52lesson
Learning from macroeconomic data
- Data not closely followed in 2024
- Macro data foundational for market thinking
- Investors learn through data
- Macro data shaping market moves
7:53lesson
Productivity boom and 1990s tech boom
- 1996-2003 productivity growth 3% annually
- Current productivity up 2.2% from last year
- San Francisco Fed compares to 1990s
- AI driving similar investment
7:54lesson
Economists and productivity debate
- Some economists think 1990s comparison is a stretch
- Productivity gains took years to show
- If similar, tailwind for crypto
- AI investment expected even before data
7:55lesson
Upcoming data and market confirmation
- Election on November 3rd
- Volatility expected either way
- Third quarter productivity numbers on November 5th
- Regional Fed surveys mid-November
Informational only — this is Crypto Capital Venture’s content, decoded by Plutus. Not Paid Daily’s advice or a recommendation. The outline, timestamps, and claims are extracted from what the creator said; verify before acting.