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Crypto Capital Venture

Crypto's 4-Year Cycle Is BROKEN! Bitcoin's Real Bull Run Is About To Start (Here's Why)

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Breakdown

0:00lesson

Bitcoin bull market setup amid business cycle expansion

  • Bitcoin support at 2021 range
  • Multi-year contraction ending
  • Business cycle expansion triggers bull market
  • Bitcoin bull market not yet realized
  • Targets to the upside for bull market
1:56lesson

Daily chart analysis with bearish divergence

  • Resistance area with bearish divergence on RSI
  • Bearish divergence on MACD
  • Similar move to May 2026
  • Potential bullish structure forming
  • Short-term volatility expected
3:56lesson

Quantitative tightening and crypto market contraction

  • Quantitative tightening began in June 2022
  • Liquidity extraction cycle
  • Crypto bear market in 2022
  • Normalization phase post-quantitative tightening
  • Similar to 2017-2019 cycle
6:09lesson

Macroeconomic data and crypto cycle analysis

  • Contraction and liquidity extraction ending
  • Entering new cycle
  • Business cycle expansion driving crypto
  • Technical analysis foundation for crypto cycles
  • Macro data critical for analysis
7:59lesson

Inverse head and shoulders structure reassessment

  • Inverse head and shoulders structure
  • Breakout in November 2024
  • Retracement to neckline with 50-week MA
  • Support and bounce continuation
  • Target to the upside in 300s
10:15lesson

Business cycle correlation with asset classes

  • PMI correlation with business cycle
  • Copper vs gold correlation
  • Russell 2000 correlation with PMI
  • Business cycle expansion triggers asset moves
  • Crypto as part of the risk curve
12:25lesson

Bitcoin price targets and business cycle impact

  • Bitcoin range targets $137k to $390k
  • Business cycle strength determines upside
  • Productivity boom potential
  • Measured move from breakout
  • Uncertainty in business cycle timing
14:40lesson

Proprietary business cycle index and risk models

  • Business cycle index for crypto analysis
  • Risk models determine bull market timing
  • Data-driven approach to crypto cycles
  • Avoiding four-year cycle assumptions
  • Macro data as key indicator
16:50lesson

Bitcoin price range and consolidation analysis

  • Bitcoin in sideways range
  • Fibonacci levels at 236 and zero line
  • Potential swing lows at 69k-63k
  • Resistance at 200-day MA at 70
  • Consolidation before potential breakout
20:40lesson

Inverse head and shoulders potential and bull market entry

  • Inverse head and shoulders potential
  • Right shoulder setup for breakout
  • Target at previous all-time highs
  • Bull market entry triggered by breakout
  • Consolidation before potential move
22:31lesson

Macro analysis and crypto cycle insights

  • Macro analysis for long-term value investors
  • Data-backed approach to crypto cycles
  • Risk-based profit-taking in bull cycles
  • Visual cycle presentation
  • No guarantees in analysis

Informational only — this is Crypto Capital Venture’s content, decoded by Plutus. Not Paid Daily’s advice or a recommendation. The outline, timestamps, and claims are extracted from what the creator said; verify before acting.