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Crypto Capital Venture

CRYPTO HOLDER: "The Bull Market Hasn't Started Yet" (But It's About To)

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 18:28
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ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Macro bull confirmation targets

  • Bitcoin daily chart making upside move
  • Ethereum also showing activity
  • Caution advised on short-term charts
  • Focus on long-term macro bull confirmation
1:47Ethereum· ticker

Ethereum risk model at 28

  • Risk score 28
  • 73% price higher after 3 months
  • 92% price higher after 1 year
  • June 2023 risk scores 10/13
3:35lesson

Global recession risk and PMI

  • Global recession risk lowest since 2021
  • Oil price drop driving CPI decline
  • Disinflation narrative stronger than inflation
  • War ending could push oil lower
5:42lesson

Business cycle expansion impact

  • PMI above 50 triggers crypto bull markets
  • Bitcoin 2022-2023 rally occurred below PMI 50
  • ETF approval and election hype drove prior rally
  • Current expansion phase ready to trigger new bull
7:52lesson

Altcoin stagnation vs. Bitcoin

  • Ethereum sideways due to PMI contraction
  • Altcoins need PMI expansion for movement
  • Bitcoin's 2022-2023 rally was structural
  • Current phase ready for parabolic move
9:50Bitcoin· ticker

Bitcoin 20-week MA at $70k

  • 20-week MA around $70k
  • Testing $67k consolidation area
  • Fibonacci levels at 618/786
  • 200-day MA at $72-73k confirmation
13:35Bitcoin· ticker

Bitcoin weekly chart analysis

  • Testing $60k-61k Fibonacci levels
  • Inverse head-and-shoulders potential
  • 200-day MA confirmation of bottom
  • Historical pattern aligns with PMI expansion
15:34Ethereum· ticker

Ethereum $2k weekly test

  • Testing $2k weekly level
  • 20-week MA at $2k
  • Historical breakouts above 20-week MA
  • Potential explosive move if confirmed
17:37lesson

Macro shift and opportunity zone

  • Record-breaking business cycle contraction
  • PMI expansion triggers crypto bull
  • Opportunity zone for crypto accumulation
  • Structural formation to unfold over months

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