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Crypto Capital Venture

Bitcoin CRASHED After Every Midterm. But It Wasn’t The Election... (Be Ready!)

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0:00lesson

Bitcoin drops after midterms, but elections weren't the cause

  • Midterm elections correlate with Bitcoin drops
  • Bitcoin fell 48% in 71 days after 2014 midterms
  • Bitcoin fell 51% in 39 days after 2018 midterms
  • Bitcoin fell 15% in 13 days after 2022 midterms
  • Elections didn't cause the drops
2:03lesson

2014 midterms: Bitcoin drops after Fed ends QE and exchange hacks

  • Fed ends quantitative easing in 2014
  • US Marshals auction 50,000 Bitcoin from Silk Road
  • Bitstamp hacked, losing 19,000 Bitcoin
  • Bitcoin bottoms at $170 after Bitstamp hack
  • Elections weren't the cause
4:14lesson

2018 midterms: Bitcoin drops after hash war and regulatory crackdown

  • Bitcoin Cash hash war in 2018
  • Miners sell Bitcoin to fund hash war
  • SEC cracks down on ICOs
  • Bitcoin drops 15% in one day
  • Bitcoin bottoms at $3,100
6:20lesson

2022 midterms: Bitcoin drops after FTX collapse and Fed hikes

  • FTX files for bankruptcy after midterms
  • Binance freezes withdrawals
  • Fed hikes rates to 3.75-4%
  • Bitcoin drops to $15,500
  • Elections weren't the cause
8:24lesson

Current macro conditions mirror past cycles, but no forced seller yet

  • Fed hikes rates to 3.75-4%
  • Inflation at 3.7%
  • Treasury yields above 5%
  • Binance hacked but Bitcoin barely dropped
  • Forced seller not yet seen
10:25lesson

Bitcoin recovers after capitulation lows, not due to elections

  • Bitcoin up 24%, 45%, 92% a year after lows
  • Capitulation lows lead to recovery
  • Understanding market drivers is key
  • Don't let charts scare you
  • Focus on fundamentals

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