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Slope of Hope

Key Trendline Failures

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ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:01EM· ticker

EM — trend line failure, 20-year channel broken

  • Sharply ascending channel broken
  • Long more than a year bear market
  • Similar event recently failed
  • Failed for first time in 2-year uptrend
2:13EM· ticker

EM — price gap, overhead supply, failure zone

  • Price gap anchored to Wednesday's low
  • Delineation between overhead supply and failure zone
4:32EWZ· ticker

EWZ — uptrend intact since liberation day bottom

  • Uptrend intact since liberation day bottom
  • Broke long time ago, went higher
  • Lifetime highs a couple of weeks back
  • Tremendous gap from election
6:47FXI· ticker

FXI — long-term target at 27, descending trend line

  • Long-term target at 27
  • Steadily working toward 27
  • Persistently below descending trend line
  • New gap forming right triangle pattern
6:48IWM· ticker

IWM — uptrend broken, red line changed to resistance

  • Uptrend broken, red line changed to resistance
  • Acted as resistance repeatedly
  • Lifetime high mid-August
  • Relatively steady slide since
6:49IWM· ticker

IWM — failed trend line, resistance at red line

  • Failed trend line, fell a week, rallied
  • Perfectly touched underside of trend line
  • Resistance at red line, not super strong
6:50SPDR· ticker

SPDR — shorter term trend line, Iran War bottom

  • Shorter term trend line anchored to Iran War bottom
  • Struggled with trend line
  • Fully broke trend line, rallied, then fell
6:51XLF· ticker

XLF — longer term trend line, 2023 bottom

  • Longer term trend line since 2023
  • Banging around trend line, finally failed
  • Topping pattern formed
  • Thursday's high as resistance
6:52SMH· ticker

SMH — 18-year uptrend, AI-driven sharp rise

  • 18-year uptrend, AI-driven sharp rise
  • Lifetime highs in June
  • Cracked multi-year ascending channel
  • Resistance at Wednesday's low
6:53SMH· ticker

SMH — failed channel, most important event this week

  • Failed multi-year ascending channel
  • Most important event this week

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