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Tim Knight Says the VIX Shows Zero Fear Before the Wildest Week

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ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Market trends and volatility

  • Trend line still busted
  • Lifetime high on S&P remains from October 6
  • Lower lows and lower highs
  • VIX near zero, no fear
  • Earnings and FOMC meeting coming
2:06lesson

Market behavior and gaps

  • Diamonds up slightly
  • Small caps up over 1%
  • Gap still open
  • XLK strong, gap sealed
  • AI-related stocks performing well
4:24SMH· ticker

SMH — channel break and price gap

  • Channel broken since April 2025
  • Price gap near 563
  • Support at 536, resistance at 563
  • Strong day with 3% up
  • Bears need to turn away from 563
6:38KO· ticker

KO — high PE and historical performance

  • PE near 30, high for sugar water
  • Split adjusted from 4 cents to $100
  • Slipping today off recent highs
  • Coke as a market benchmark
8:50lesson

Market volatility and risk management

  • Brazil had a strong day, now stable
  • Argentina clean chart, thinly traded
  • EM up 1.25%
  • Risk dialed down to 110%
  • Election impact on markets
10:56FXI· ticker

FXI — persistent bear market

  • FXI down 13 weeks in a row
  • Bearish market
  • China market more bearish than US
  • Gold futures up $35
  • GLD up 1%
13:01XME· ticker

XME — metals and mining ETF

  • XME up 4%
  • Ugly Friday and Monday, now pushing higher
  • Melting stopped
  • Oil down, USO down
  • XLE and XOP down
15:06Accenture· ticker

Accenture — large top pattern

  • Accenture down 5%
  • Large top pattern
  • Turned away from resistance
  • FICO down 1.7%
  • Churchill Downs down 2.5%
17:17PINS· ticker

PINS — overhead supply

  • PINS down 2%
  • Overhead supply in pink area
  • Turned away from red line
  • Shopify down 1%
  • Triple-digit PE
19:31IEF· ticker

IEF — bond market pattern

  • IEF down slightly
  • Magenta zone from August 2025 to September
  • Bottomed early this month
  • Should not violate price gap
  • Pattern to sink lower
21:55Visa· ticker

Visa — strong historical performance

  • Visa up from $10 to $400
  • Richly valued
  • Basing nicely before breakout
  • Good place to buy
  • High PE
23:54STX· ticker

STX — tech and AI performance

  • STX up 13%
  • Pushed above gap from last Wednesday
  • Next meaningful level is trend line
  • Respect trend line as resistance
  • Tech strong, AI performing well

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