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Will Yields Turn Back at 24-Year High? All Eyes on the Jobs Report
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Monetary policy expectations spilling into markets
- Policy expectations moving globally
- US jobs report upcoming in 24h
- Bond market relief after 6 days
- ZB futures showing relief
- Relief across bond maturities
2:24lesson
Euro showing explosive price action
- Euro down 9/10en of a percent
- Former resistance becomes support
- Euro zone fiscal stress evident
- France's fiscal issues resurfacing
- Yield spreads blowing out
4:57lesson
Euro story driving market dynamics
- Euro outperforming other currencies
- Gold and silver showing relief
- Bitcoin attempting to break out
- Dollar story shifting focus to Fed
- Jobs report as key inflection point
7:28lesson
Fed policy expectations and probabilities
- October Fed meeting likely to hold
- Second hike by December 97.6% chance
- Third hike no longer fully baked in
- Economic data showing moderation
- ISM report showing steady growth
10:05lesson
Economic data and inflation trends
- ISM report showing strong manufacturing
- Inflation slowing to Fed's target
- Atlanta Fed GDP model revised lower
- Consumer confidence at record low
- Consumer retrenchment concerns
12:27lesson
Market exposure and position adjustments
- Euro position cut due to divergence
- Gold and Aussie/pound weakness echoing euro
- Canadian dollar not doing much
- Bitcoin long with call vertical
- Russell and S&P short through verticals
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