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Tim Knight: The S&P Just Broke Its Trendline and the Selloff Is Here
NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 13:01
Chapters9 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Market volatility and swing trading
- Lucy in the football metaphor for market motion
- No net trend over multi-month period
- Swing traders add to positions as weakness grows
- Maximal exposure leads to sudden market reversal
1:55ES· ticker
ES trend line failure and head and shoulders pattern
- Trend line anchored to Iran war low in late March
- Trend line failed and broke for real
- Head and shoulders pattern complete
- Market at lowest since September 17
3:46ENQ· ticker
ENQ bounce back and AI trade warts
- Bouncing back after multiple plunges
- AI trade showing its warts
- Anthropic IPO delayed due to market conditions
- Potential five alarm fire if IPO is delayed
5:25Anthropic· ticker
Anthropic IPO potential and market impact
- Anthropic could delay IPO due to market conditions
- Potential five alarm fire if IPO is delayed
- Anthropic is SpaceX's largest customer
- Circular financing between SpaceX and Anthropic
7:15Reddit· ticker
Reddit reversal pattern and AI data sale
- Reddit shows reversal pattern
- Reddit sold all AI training data
- Reddit down 26% similar to Intel
- AI connection makes sense for Reddit drop
9:16Pinterest· ticker
Pinterest drop and value loss
- Pinterest down over 7%
- Similar to Snap as a has been stock
- Don't fear stocks with 50-70% value loss
- Bottom is always zero
11:20Gold· ticker
Gold and precious metals decline
- Gold at new yearly low below $4,000
- Base of right triangle failed
- Psychological $4,000 level broken
- Silver down into 40s, broke right triangle
11:21Amazon· ticker
Amazon fall and bond market reaction
- Amazon fall triggered bond market rally
- AI trade losing appeal, funds redirected to bonds
- Tech and AI rally following yield rise
- Yields higher, tech more expensive
11:22IWM· ticker
IWM short position and interest rate impact
- Short IWM due to interest rate climb
- Small caps strong due to interest rates
- ENQ weakness exacerbated by rate climb
- Short positions due to market weakness
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