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SpaceX Is 51% Off Its High. The Options Market Is Pricing the Next Big Move Up.
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0:00SpaceX· ticker
SpaceX — IPO discount, 51% off high
- IPO at 150, trading 110
- 51% off all-time high
- 101B shares eligible, doubling float
- Options IV at 75% for 1yr
1:56lesson
Options math for volatility cycles
- August/September IV at 88-100%
- December IV drops to 70s
- Call skew pricing upside risk
- Put-call ratio shows velocity risk
3:47SpaceX· ticker
Options skew favors upside
- 130 call trades at double 90 put
- December 90 put at $9, 130 at $14
- 300 strike call trades for $1
- Call skew creates wide trade opportunities
5:48SpaceX· ticker
Long-term bullish with volatility risk
- 50% haircut from IPO price
- Market expects more volatility
- Call skew suggests upside potential
- Strategic trades possible with skew
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