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Tim Knight Says Tech Is at Record Highs While the Dow Quietly Breaks Down

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 26:19
Chapters27 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Market anticipation and election impact

  • Midterms anticipation like 30 Super Bowls
  • Trading paused until elections
  • Anthropic IPO delayed due to chaos
  • Market bifurcation between tech and others
2:10Diamonds· ticker

Diamonds — weak, new multi-month low

  • Broken below price gap at 762
  • Slipping lower over eight sessions
  • Weak relative to strong cubes
  • Covered position at good price
4:15XLK· ticker

XLK — lifetime high, tech strength

  • XLK at lifetime high
  • Intraday strength
  • Tech sector strong
  • Potential for further gains
6:33EFA· ticker

EFA — sinking, long-term trend line support

  • Sinking since early August peak
  • Found support at long-term trend line
  • Still weak
  • Buying pressure not enough
8:37EWY· ticker

EWY — horizontal, unexciting

  • Boring, no movement
  • Horizontal trend
  • Semiconductor sector flat
  • FXI down to price gap
10:52EW· ticker

EW — shorted due to symmetric triangle

  • Shorted due to symmetric triangle failure
  • Kissed broken trend line
  • Down 2.28%
  • Quick move to 60s
12:58GLD· ticker

GLD — resistance, vulnerable

  • Still below trend line
  • Resistance acting
  • Potential move tomorrow
  • Gold miners down 0.75%
15:08BTC· ticker

BTC — up quadruple digits, ABTC down

  • Bitcoin up 1.5%
  • ABTC down 9% with 9 red bars
  • Crypto market mixed
  • Avoiding long positions
17:11Newsmax· ticker

Newsmax — chartist appeal, expensive

  • Chartist appeal but expensive
  • Formed base but not breakout
  • Market expensive
  • Not recommended for long
19:23USO· ticker

USO — up 3%, oil reacting to news

  • Oil up due to Middle East news
  • USO up 3%
  • XOP and XLE also up
  • Equities not reacting
21:46BTU· ticker

BTU — bearish patterns, speculative

  • Bearish patterns
  • Speculative trade
  • Stop set above
  • Not down today
24:17CNC· ticker

CNC — down 1.6%, pink zone

  • CNC down 1.6%
  • Poking beneath pink zone
  • Health sector working out
  • Small short position
24:18HLT· ticker

HLT — head shoulders pattern

  • Head shoulders pattern
  • Pushed back into pattern
  • Small short position
  • Need breakdown below neckline
24:19Humana· ticker

Humana — down 1%, inching lower

  • Humana down 1%
  • Inching lower
  • Health sector
  • Small short position
24:20Carvana· ticker

Carvana — volatile, long days

  • Carvana up after earlier decline
  • Long days, short years
  • Volatile movement
  • Breaking down
24:21Lenar Elellen· ticker

Lenar Elellen — sinking, trend line

  • Lenar Elellen sinking
  • Trend line tagged
  • Fundamental part wonders
  • May scurry out
24:22Blue Owl· ticker

Blue Owl — down, fundamental part

  • Blue Owl down
  • Fundamental part wonders
  • May scurry out
  • Trend line tagged
24:23SG OV· ticker

SG OV — dividend drop, interest sensitive

  • Dividend drop on SG OV
  • Interest sensitive instruments
  • Nominal price drop
  • Data adjustment later
24:24small caps· ticker

Small caps — down, interest rates

  • Small caps down
  • Interest rates rising
  • Diminishment in sensitive items
  • Bonds may rally
24:25XLU· ticker

XLU — strong, dividend impact

  • XLU strong despite dividend
  • Potential for upside
  • Dead cat bounce
  • Bond rally expected
24:26Nike· ticker

Nike — down 80%, poor performance

  • Nike down 80%
  • Poor performance
  • Priced at 2014 levels
  • No position in it
24:27Micron· ticker

Micron — bullish engulfing, up 2%

  • Micron bullish engulfing
  • Up 2%
  • Earnings report digestion
  • Helping SMH
24:28NASDAQ composite· ticker

NASDAQ composite — monthly chart, rise

  • NASDAQ composite peaked above lifetime highs
  • Monthly chart, rise in September
  • Contrast with Dow Jones
  • September not down
24:29Dow 30 industrials· ticker

Dow 30 industrials — big drop, trend line failure

  • Dow 30 industrials down
  • Trend line failure
  • Months of gains lost
  • Major breakdown
24:30Russell 2000· ticker

Russell 2000 — bearish, trend line failure

  • Russell 2000 bearish
  • Trend line failure
  • Shooting star in August
  • Closing at lows
24:31Semiconductors· ticker

Semiconductors — uncertain, AI bubble impact

  • Semiconductors uncertain
  • AI bubble impact
  • Recaptured August peak
  • Sector petered out in June
24:32S&P 500· ticker

S&P 500 — indecisive, between camps

  • S&P 500 indecisive
  • Between tech and Dow
  • Hanging out above trend line
  • Fractured market

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