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The IPO Trap: Big Pop, Then a Long Slide
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00SOXX· ticker
SOXX down, semis decimated
- Equities down all day
- EMIs and NASDAQ down significantly
- Bitcoin rallies into sell-off
- Oil up at 103-104
- Gold and silver down all day
2:15SpaceX· ticker
SpaceX IPO — price back to IPO level
- SpaceX IPOed at 150
- Jumped to 225
- Hammered down to 110
- Now back to 150
- CBRS IPOed at 100
- Ripped to 400
- Sold off to lows
4:11SOXX· ticker
SOXX options — 33% touch probability
- 400 strike option to downside
- 33% touch probability
- 100 points to downside
- Call skew expected
- Premium priced to upside
6:12SMH· ticker
SMH down 5%, call skew to upside
- SMH down 5%
- 450 strike to downside
- 17% in money probability
- 650 strike to upside
- Call skew less than SOXX
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