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Someone Just Bet $20 Million on SanDisk After the Stock Dropped. Here's the Read.
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:04SNDK· ticker
Sandisk (SNDK) — earnings report, revenue up 20.25B, stock down 11%
- Revs 8.97B vs 8.39B expected, +372% YoY
- EPS $3929 vs $34.25, gross margin 84.6%
- Data center revenue nearly doubled
- Consumer fell 32%, net income 11.43B
2:10lesson
Options trade analysis: January 2027 call vs. August call
- January 15 2027 1880 call, 162 days to expiry
- 43% OTM, $19.6M premium, 105% IV
- Break-even $276, 58% move needed
- August 14 1750 call, 8 days to expiry
- 33% OTM, $264K premium, 122% IV
4:05SNDK· ticker
Sandisk (SNDK) — guidance vs. delivery, 29% beat in Q3
- Q3 2026 guided 4.6B, delivered 5.95B
- Q4 guided 8B, delivered 8.97B
- Beat pattern implies 11.8-12B revenue
- Street reaction mixed, targets cut
4:06lesson
Analyst targets and market reaction to earnings
- Analyst targets range 1300-3500
- City Bank cut to 2100 from 2500
- Jeffries cut to 1750 from 3000
- Wells Fargo down to 1400
4:07SNDK· ticker
Sandisk (SNDK) — committed revenue, buybacks, and investor day setup
- Minimum committed revenue 93.9B, 4.6x YoY
- 2/3 of 2028 output already booked
- 5 new long-term agreements since April
- Buyback authorization expanded by 14B
4:08lesson
Signal vs. noise: Is the trade a signal or noise?
- January call requires 58% move to break even
- AI infrastructure cycle may continue
- Market misunderstanding of earnings
- Trader expects management to reinforce guidance
Informational only — this is tastylive’s content, decoded by Plutus. Not Paid Daily’s advice or a recommendation. The outline, timestamps, and claims are extracted from what the creator said; verify before acting.