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Someone Bought $12 Million in TSMC Calls the Day Before Earnings.
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00TSM· ticker
TSMC — strong earnings, stock fell
- Record print, $40+ revenue, 33.7% YoY
- Net profit up 77% to $22 billion
- 2026 outlook raised to 40% growth
- AI mega trend conviction high
- Stock fell after earnings report
2:02TSM· ticker
TSMC — options activity, bullish calls
- 15.9 million calls bought into TSM upside
- 9.4% move needed to break even
- July 31st 460 calls at 4.1 million
- Implied volatility 55%
- Break-even at 474.77
3:53TSM· ticker
TSMC — options activity, bullish calls
- 11.8 million calls bought into August 21st 440
- Implied volatility 52%
- Break-even at 459.01
- 5 weeks to expiry
- More time for recovery
5:43TSM· ticker
TSMC — stock fell post-earnings
- Stock traded around 405-406 post-earnings
- July 31st 460 call needs 474.77
- 17% move in 2 weeks
- August 21st 440 call needs 459.01
- 13% move in 5 weeks
5:44TSM· ticker
TSMC — earnings report analysis
- Q3 revenue guidance 44.6-45.8 billion
- HPC at 66% of revenue
- Advanced nodes at 77% of wafer revenue
- CapEx raised to 60-64 billion
- Margins down to 65%
5:45TSM· ticker
TSMC — market reaction to earnings
- South Korean regulatory news
- Liquidity and leverage squeezed
- Inventory days up to 87
- Demand vs. spending push-pull
- Analyst consensus at 503.80
5:46TSM· ticker
TSMC — signal vs. noise setup
- Call buyers believe in post-earnings rebound
- July 31st 460 calls need quick rebound
- August 21st 440 calls need slower recovery
- Both trades need 9.4% move from entry
- Traders underrate post-reaction rebound
5:47TSM· ticker
TSMC — market debate and open interest
- Analyst targets range from 330 to 600
- Open interest build on call side
- 410, 420, 430 strikes interest
- Put open interest build signals downside
- Signal vs. noise debate ongoing
Informational only — this is tastylive’s content, decoded by Plutus. Not Paid Daily’s advice or a recommendation. The outline, timestamps, and claims are extracted from what the creator said; verify before acting.