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Is the Market Selloff Over? Chart Analysis with Tim Knight

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 27:03
Chapters12 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00SPY· ticker

Spider — PCE data, inflation, and price action

  • PCE data shows inflation at 3%
  • Spider up ~0.3%
  • Market blasted higher after revised PCE
  • Shooting star pattern near daily lows
  • Gap at 762 could trigger selling
2:08XLI· ticker

XLI — industrial ETF, price gap, and trend line

  • XLI has a clean price gap
  • Down ~1%
  • Trend line broken
  • Weakness over past month
  • Potential trend line break
4:14XLK· ticker

XLK — tech ETF, breakout potential, and AI bubble

  • XLK close to breakout at 198.26
  • AI bubble burst
  • Anthropic S1 leaks excite market
  • EFA vs XLK performance divergence
  • China down >1%
6:28EWW· ticker

EWW — symmetric triangle, shorting Mexico

  • EWW symmetric triangle breakdown
  • Short Mexico at 75.05
  • Approaching 71
  • Price gap at 75.05
  • Potential for further decline
8:41Treasury bonds· ticker

Bonds — Treasury spectrum, ZB, TLT, and IEF

  • Treasury spectrum barfs
  • ZB down, TLT at multi-year lows
  • IEF down again
  • Violent rally possible
  • October looms
10:43XLU· ticker

XLU — utilities ETF, down again, and real estate

  • XLU down again
  • From 58.39 to 53.55
  • Real estate suffering
  • IYR down from 107 to 95
  • Lenar sinking
12:37Home Depot· ticker

Home Depot — generational wealth, 30% drop

  • Home Depot down from $400 to $200s
  • 30% slice
  • Similar to 2008 drop
  • Home builders may lead lower
  • SpaceX more stable than bonds
14:48Precious metals· ticker

Precious metals — gold, silver, and miners

  • Gold and silver down
  • Failed support levels
  • Gold miners reflecting decline
  • Silver down 1.79%
  • Potential for further decline
17:08XME· ticker

XME — metals ETF, shorting opportunity

  • XME up after big drop
  • Clean stop loss at 107
  • Shooting star pattern
  • Potential weakening
  • Jobs report on Friday
19:06Bitcoin· ticker

Bitcoin — shorting, and Ethereum

  • Covered Bitcoin shorts
  • Bitcoin power concerns
  • Ethereum down slightly
  • Support level above is key
  • Oil getting its mojo back
21:09Health insurance· ticker

Health insurance — shorts, and Corning

  • Shorting health insurance companies
  • Centine down, Credo Technology down
  • United Health down 1.5%
  • DraftKings down 2%
  • Corning down 3%
23:20NASDAQ· ticker

NASDAQ — tech stocks, Cisco, and Pet.com

  • NASDAQ peak in 2000, then decline
  • Cisco saved tech during 2000 crash
  • Tech stocks in base since 2007
  • Potential breakout near 198.26
  • Micron earnings report

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