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Tim Knight Is Shorting Everything Again, and One Trade Is Up 30%
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Spider short with puts, inflation expectations
- Spider turned tail from level, dragged down to today's high
- Long spider puts got torched, decided to do it again
- Long puts expiring Friday 13th, confident they'll be worth more
- Stop set above today's high, CPI slight miss triggered sharp reaction
- Inflation not 0.4% but more like 1%, restaurant example illustrates
2:08IF· ticker
IF short with puts, bond market reversal
- IF down 81%, gave up on trade due to slow decline
- Used options to leverage, March $92 puts popped 30%
- Lightened up but holding most, potential for bigger move
- LQD down same amount, interest-sensitive assets hit
- Diamonds down 38%, portfolio up 10x more than diamonds
4:19XLC· ticker
XLC short, biotech pattern
- XLC up slightly, clean stop identified
- XBI down 1.7%, head and shoulders top 90% complete
- Emerging markets short, down 8%
- YouTube video title misinterpreted, clarified impatience
- Rally yesterday triggered shorts, bearish sentiment
6:28XLK· ticker
XLK short, tech sector analysis
- XLK down 1.5%, short everything with ticker symbol
- Distance between price and gap, potential one-hit wonder
- Jensen Wongs rebranded, public not letting him off hook
- Nvidia down 1/3, anthropic news buoying AI space
- Short semiconductors, stop at 500, potential meltdown
8:22SMH· ticker
SMH short, bearish leverage
- SMH down, lost 1/3 of market cap, semiconductors vulnerable
- Short January $500 puts, sassy sass
- Bearish leverage South Korean thing, Willickers not fighting back
- Gap is clean, short app loving down 4%
- LAR down 5%, interest rates bad for home builders
10:42Rivian· ticker
Rivian short, chart broken
- Rivian short, chart broken, never shorted before
- Shopify down 5%, Space Mobile down 9%
- AXTI down, slaughtered, easy to short again
- Bloom Energy down, 30% gain in days, potential meltdown
- Coinbase down, tremendous topping pattern
12:48Corning· ticker
Corning short, bearish patterns
- Corning down 4%, prettiest bearish pattern
- Anthropic IPO could be swan song for AI, OpenAI in trouble
- Micron down, anchor point is Wednesday's low
- Trimmed positions, sold SPY puts, covered half SPY short
- Portfolio down to 115%, recovery in past two hours
15:09Gold· ticker
Gold, precious metals, Bitcoin
- Gold back to Friday levels, teetering above trend line
- Palladium and platinum ill-looking charts
- Bitcoin sinking, close to support trend line
- MARA short stopped, still in Coinbase
- American Bitcoin at lifetime low, oil down, XLE up
17:21XLE· ticker
XLE short, energy sector analysis
- XLE up 2/3%, energy sector interesting buy
- Iran situation unresolved, potential for new kinetic action
- XOP up, looking cheap, energy sector at bottom of range
- Space sector poised to fall, SpaceX resistance line
- Echoar up, short, stop near, Planet Labs down 3%
19:19UFO· ticker
UFO short, space sector analysis
- Space sector poised to fall, SpaceX resistance line
- Focus on asteroid mining and moon base instead of AI
- Rocket Lab domey top, recovered from earnings drop
- Cubes down 0.75%, gap unfilled, trend line broken
- Semiconductors may aid recovery, SO XL gap unfilled
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