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The Super Bear: A Bearish Trade You Get Paid to Put On

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Chapters9 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Super bear trade introduction

  • Strategy explained as super bear
  • Credit to Mike Butler for bringing strategy to attention
  • SPX used mostly due to size
  • Multi-leg strategies better than single-leg
  • Stupid trade terminology explained
1:48lesson

Super bear trade structure

  • Super bear involves selling call spread and buying put spread
  • Trade done for credit
  • Lighter risk than normal
  • Risk exists in every trade
3:29lesson

SPX trade setup

  • SPX used for large size
  • Different expirations affect structure
  • Two days out as example
  • Strikes chosen around 7625 and 7750
5:37lesson

Super bear trade analysis

  • Credit collected for trade
  • Index needs to stay below 7760
  • Put spread finishes in the money
  • Max profit of $1,100
  • Risk to upside if index breaches 7750
7:32lesson

Strike selection and risk

  • Finding right strike is key
  • Expected move of $62
  • Risk of index not falling to 7615
  • Avoiding too aggressive put spread
9:31lesson

Super bear trade adjustments

  • Adjusting strikes for credit
  • Max profit of $1,535
  • Expected move near 7640
  • Risk remains to the upside
11:18lesson

Super bear vs. super bull

  • Super bull is flipped version of super bear
  • Call spread bought, put spread sold
  • Expected move differences
  • Strikes adjusted for trade structure
13:20lesson

Super bear trade execution

  • Credit collection varies with strikes
  • Strikes chosen around 7640 and 7750
  • Risk remains to the upside
  • Trade structure depends on time to expiration
15:10lesson

Super bear trade conclusion

  • Risk always to the upside
  • Strikes chosen near expected move
  • Max profit when index falls to downside
  • Trade structure varies with time to expiration

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