Paid Daily · Resources · Ask Plutus
Someone Bet on Meta Hitting $1,000, Just Not This Year
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:04MA· ticker
Meta — options flip, $32.3M puts bought
- Options money flipped
- Meta (MA) options activity
- Put buyers got what they wanted
- Share price declined to 690
- Earnings report upcoming
2:03MA· ticker
Meta — options flow shifted to bullish
- Put flow shifted to bullish
- 8.01M puts in 30-min span
- Short-dated calls at 695, 700
- Break evens at 72615, 72855
- Long-dated calls at 705, break even at 74450
3:52MA· ticker
Meta — earnings report, revenue expectations
- Earnings report on Wednesday
- Revenue expected at $63.3B
- Guided range 61-64B
- Operating income down 7%
- $10B legal charge
5:34MA· ticker
Meta — capex and spending outlook
- Capex guided at $130-145B for 2026
- Bank of America suggests 205B for 2027
- Muse has 8.9M downloads
- Muse Wonder launched on 10/12
- Investors question return on capex
5:35MA· ticker
Meta — options strike analysis
- October 695 and 700 calls
- Break even at 72615, 72855
- November 705 calls break even at 74450
- 2028 calls break even at 998-1041
- Annualized returns 18-20%
5:36MA· ticker
Meta — earnings volatility and implied moves
- Historical earnings reactions exceed implied
- Implied move at 5.9%
- Premium sellers beware
- November 705 call gives more time
- 2028 call ignores earnings report
5:37lesson
Options timeframes and theta decay
- Short-term vs long-term options
- Theta decay impacts short-term
- Long-term positions less affected
- Different timeframes, different risk
- Signal vs noise in options flow
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