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Tim Knight's Biggest Winner Is the Trade Nobody Talks About
NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 12:41
Chapters11 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Market reaction to big move and CPI report
- Big green bar seen in months
- Bleed over into night and next day
- CPI up 0.4 vs expected 0.3
- Down half a percent but U-turn from overhead supply
1:52SPDR· ticker
SPDR short position and payback
- Burned by spider puts
- Payback from Friday 13th
- Scoured out of puts
- Nice tight stop on spider short
3:50ES· ticker
ES rectangle and market guidance
- ES looking terrific
- Rectangle as guide
- No clean pattern
- Monster bar on ENQ
5:49SMH· ticker
SMH gap and reentry
- Gap tethered to last Wednesday's low
- Barely changed
- Closer to gap, more comfortable
- Small position on gap
7:39IEF· ticker
IEF directional trade and bond market
- IEF simple directional trade
- March $92 puts
- Important reversal point
- Bonds ZB down 1.32%
9:27Lunar· ticker
Lunar short position and interest rates
- Short Lunar home builder
- Higher rates make home buying expensive
- Down 5%
- F chart not very interesting
11:24Gold· ticker
Gold and precious metals long-term view
- Gold given up gains
- Healing process
- Long-term bullish on gold
- Precious metals long-term
11:25SpaceX· ticker
SpaceX strength and sector vulnerability
- SpaceX still showing strength
- UFO ETF vulnerable
- PL, RKLB, INTU in sector
- SpaceX as big concern
11:26RKLB· ticker
RKLB earnings and short position
- RKLB down this morning
- Earnings last night
- Short position
- Zipping higher after open
11:27Anthropic· ticker
Anthropic IPO and AI sector
- Anthropic going forward with IPO
- Possible trillion dollar valuation
- First pure AI play
- Market reaction to numbers
11:28lesson
Market indices and yield trends
- S&P down 33
- Nasdaq down 100
- Yields persistent near 5%
- Oil in steady decline
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