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How to Hedge a Mag 7 Stock Using Its Nasdaq Correlation

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 14:33
Chapters8 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:09lesson

Market context and initial observations

  • Welcome back to tasty live
  • Jamal Chandler and Mike Butler
  • Kai Zing joins with research
  • Market gap down half percent
  • Positions stabilized
1:47SPX· ticker

SPX and Nasdaq 100 correlation

  • Apple and Nasdaq 100 correlation negative 0.86
  • Nasdaq up, Apple down 86% of time
  • Data close to negative 0.86
  • Long-term correlation rare
  • Most recent in 2001
3:50NASDAQ· ticker

Nasdaq and chip sector dynamics

  • Apple up, Nasdaq down
  • Chip sector down: SanDisk, WDC, STX
  • AI names down: CBRS, SK Hynix
  • Apple and Costco correlated
  • Mag seven down, Apple up
5:53NASDAQ· ticker

Price vs. return correlation

  • 30-day return correlation close to zero
  • Internal path differs: Nasdaq down, Apple up
  • Portfolio impact of divergent paths
  • Return convergence over time
8:01NASDAQ· ticker

Apple vs. mag seven correlation

  • Apple and mag seven correlation close to zero
  • Historical average 0.4-0.5
  • Apple deviating from group
  • Market diversity benefit
10:09QQQ· ticker

Apple vs. QQQ hedging

  • Apple beta against QQQ drops to 0.19
  • Historical beta 1.08
  • Hedge ratio 0.38
  • Over-hedging increases volatility
12:22VIX· ticker

Options market efficiency

  • Apple and QQQ implied volatility low
  • VIX below long-term average
  • Market pricing efficient
  • No anomalies detected
14:18lesson

Summary and future outlook

  • Apple trading independently
  • Hedging difficult
  • Market diversity benefit
  • Follow Jamal Chandler and Mike Butler

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