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Why the Market Still Prices an 80% Chance of a Hike

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Breakdown

0:0010-year yield· ticker

10-year yield near 5% amid rate hike expectations

  • 10-year yield holding near 5%
  • Markets pricing 80% chance of rate hike by year-end
  • Minimal odds of hike this Wednesday
0:01Composite PMI· ticker

Composite PMI at 57.6 signals strong demand

  • Composite PMI at 57.6
  • Manufacturing improved to 56
  • Sellside price inflation highest since August 22
0:02Q3 GDP· ticker

Q3 GDP expected at 3.2% tests Fed tightening

  • Q3 GDP expected at 3.2%
  • Core inflation PCE at 3.1%
  • Fed has room to keep tightening
0:03PCE inflation· ticker

PCE inflation at 3.1% supports Fed tightening

  • Core inflation PCE at 3.1%
  • Unemployment rates below 4.5%
  • Fed has room to keep tightening
0:04Alphabet· ticker

Alphabet and Microsoft earnings to be discussed

  • Alphabet and Microsoft earnings upcoming
  • Earnings to be discussed in video
0:05Microsoft· ticker

Microsoft earnings to be discussed

  • Microsoft earnings to be discussed
  • Earnings to be discussed in video

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