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CPI Takes the Wheel After Payrolls Cool

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Breakdown

0:00lesson

CPI data dominates post-payroll focus

  • CPI report tomorrow back in driver's seat
  • July CPI expected to ease to 3.4%
  • Core CPI at 2.5%
  • Consensus print supports duration rally
1:39lesson

Hormuz deal reduces panic premium

  • Hormuz deal conditional on US concessions
  • Trump adopting economic pressure over military
  • Shipping constraints remain unresolved
1:40lesson

Earnings season delivers strong growth

  • 85.1% of S&P 500 companies beat estimates
  • Revenue growth strongest since 2021
  • Energy sector boosted by oil shock
  • 50% YoY earnings growth

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