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Brent Kochuba Just Got Long Tech. He Says This Selloff Is Rotation, Not a Crash.
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Tech dip analysis and market rotation
- Market given reasons to sell off last week
- S&P down 2% from all-time high
- Tech downside unclear
- Equal weighted S&P and Dow doing fine
- Rotation vs wholesale equity selling
1:31lesson
Mergers and market sentiment
- High percent chance of Tesla-SpaceX merger
- 1.4 trillion Tesla vs 2 trillion SpaceX
- Synergy potential post-last week
- Mergers not straightforward
- Market driven by memes and narratives
3:00lesson
Market catalysts and risk appetite
- Elon Musk as meme generator
- Rumors spark upside moves
- Market not same as 2022
- Sentiment shift needed for rally
- Market one headline away from sharp move
4:39lesson
Market risk and position management
- Market given reasons to sell off last week
- Downside movement bought back
- VIX term structure almost flat
- Shorting VIX can be scary
- Real risk either way
6:08lesson
Trading strategies for short-term bounce
- Shortdated call flies in Q's
- QES can rally 1-2%
- Call flies for 1% wide
- Position for short-term bounce
- Adjust views with new data
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