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Hot US Inflation Jolted Markets, But Key Levels Held. What's Next?
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:09CPI· ticker
CPI data shakes markets, Fed rate hike expectations
- US inflation data shook markets
- Investors rethink Fed's rate hike preparedness
- Impact filters across stocks, currencies, metals, rates
2:46Fed· ticker
Fed's rate hike expectations and inflation data
- CPI month-on-month increase 0.4%
- Year-on-year data unavailable due to 2025 shutdown
- Core numbers match September at 0.3%
5:29CPI· ticker
CPI three and six-month annualized rates
- Three-month annualized rate 5.7%
- Six-month rate 3.07%
- Core three-month rate 3.75%
7:54CPI· ticker
Services inflation and goods price trends
- Services inflation steady climb since June
- Goods prices inch down
- War effects on supply chain costs
10:26S&P 500· ticker
S&P 500 negative response to inflation data
- S&P 500 came off support-turned-resistance level
- Rebound as close approached
- Negative overall response
13:04NASDAQ· ticker
NASDAQ negative reaction to inflation data
- NASDAQ down, came off support-turned-resistance
- Not ready to break below 27,500
- Negative overall response
13:05Bonds· ticker
Bonds negative response to rate hike expectations
- Bonds negative response as rates rise
- Unclenching without crossing critical levels
- Hold at key levels
13:06Gold· ticker
Gold sharp decline but holds at 4,000
- Gold sharp move lower
- Holds at 4,000
- Intraday range not taken out
13:07Silver· ticker
Silver holds at $51, no break in range
- Silver holds at $51
- Intraday range not taken out
- Sell-off but no break
13:08USD· ticker
Dollar mixed response to inflation data
- Aussie down to bottom of range
- Positive RSI divergence
- Euro stronger with hotter inflation
13:09GBP· ticker
Pound shows wear but holds levels
- Pound shows wear and tear
- Holding swing low from late last week
- Positive RSI divergence emerging
13:10CAD· ticker
Canadian dollar struggles at critical levels
- Dollar stronger, CAD struggles
- Running into critical levels
- Struggling to make lasting headway
13:11USD· ticker
Market sentiment on inflation and Fed policy
- Markets not ready to run away from hot economy
- Buoyancy in demand fueling growth
- Consumption is five times larger than investment
13:12Gold· ticker
Long gold position despite data stale
- Still holding long gold position
- Mixed view on dollar
- Long euro, pound, short Aussie, CAD
13:13Bitcoin· ticker
Bitcoin as a lottery ticket with max loss
- Still holding stale Bitcoin position
- Max loss, either expire or bounce
- Large short position in NASDAQ
13:14S&P 500· ticker
S&P 500 and NASDAQ pullback expectations
- Still long bonds, expecting larger turn
- Long S&P 500, NASDAQ pullback
- Long silver 100 ounce futures
13:15USD· ticker
Anti-dollar turn and long positions
- Long dollar positions may come off first
- Anti-dollar turn brewing
- Still holding Bitcoin position
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