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What the Data Says About the Exact Hours the Market Moves Most
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Intraday S&P volatility and trends
- S&P market moves by the hour
- Intraday trends analyzed
- Volatility and price extremes
- Hourly windows for analysis
1:36lesson
Intraday volatility and ranges
- Opening hour most volatile
- Average one-minute moves 0.033%
- Midday volatility drops to 0.019%
- Ranges contract midday, expand afternoon
3:18lesson
Intraday drift patterns
- Most hourly windows show positive drift
- Last hour drifts negative
- Morning dominates volatility
- Last 30 minutes to hour show reversal
4:57lesson
Daily highs and lows concentration
- 32% of daily highs in first hour
- Almost 40% of daily lows in first hour
- Morning volatility sets high or low
- Waiting 30 minutes to an hour avoids morning swing
6:33lesson
Average returns to close
- Positive returns from morning to midday
- Returns fade as session progresses
- By 230, average return turns negative
- Probability of finishing higher drops below 50%
8:12lesson
Summary of intraday patterns
- Open carries most movement
- First hour has highest volatility
- Midday is quietest
- Final 30 minutes to hour shows reversal
9:55lesson
Intraday momentum and performance
- Market drifts positive hourly
- Reverses in final 30 minutes to hour
- Late day momentum behaves differently
- Historical reversal in final hour
11:27lesson
Market activity and personal trades
- NDX butterfly downside trade
- Consumer name TJX long position
- ETH closed after split
- E-mini S&P at all-time highs
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