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Markets Brace for Impact With All Eyes on the Fed and Big Tech
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:11lesson
Markets face event risk, price action analysis
- Markets face event risk
- Price action development
- Consolidative setup
- Slow start to the week
- Earnings docket impact
2:37lesson
Oil and equity markets show shallow rebounds
- Oil gap down gives stocks reprieve
- Shallow bounce in NASDAQ
- Dense pocket of former lows
- Trend remains downward
- Russell consolidation
5:12lesson
Precious metals and bonds show consolidation
- Gold and silver digest selloff
- Bonds consolidate after breakout
- Bitcoin holds swing lows
- Dollar weakness revealed
- Euro resilience
7:39lesson
Market sentiment and upcoming event risk
- Shallow rebound in tech names
- Equal weighted index in green
- AI buildout narrative
- Chinese Communist Party meeting
- Australian inflation data
10:09lesson
Fed and central bank expectations
- Fed holds rates unchanged
- 90% chance of December hike
- 70% chance of January hike
- Fed's view on rate hikes
- Market vs Fed on rate outlook
12:39lesson
Economic data and growth concerns
- Third quarter GDP expected at 3.5%
- Narrow growth driven by AI and defense
- Consumer retrenchment risk
- PCE inflation expected at 3.6%
- ECB and BOJ rate decisions
15:03lesson
Earnings season and market speculation
- Earnings in line with expectations
- Speculative juice sapped
- Tech earnings growth at 65.6%
- S&P earnings growth at 29.5%
- Market uncertainty
17:22lesson
Earnings calendar and market exposure
- Earnings on Wednesday and Thursday
- Seagate and Corning reports
- Alphabet and Microsoft key
- Amazon and Intel central
- Market exposure adjustments
19:57lesson
Brazilian markets and geopolitical risks
- Brazilian markets gap down 26%
- Lula D Silva election win
- Legislative challenges
- Market position trimmed
- Long Brazil trade unchanged
22:26lesson
Market positions and trade adjustments
- Still short European markets
- Long Bitcoin and bonds
- Put verticals in S&P, NASDAQ, Russell
- Call verticals in TLT, USO
- Short XBI ETF
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