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Bad News for the Economy
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Bond market dynamics vs Fed policy
- Bond market looking past Fed
- Consumer confidence created
- Job openings fell
- Crude oil down 2%
- 30-year yield highest since 2002
- 10-year up 82 basis points
- Policy expectations vs term premium
0:0130-year yield· ticker
30-year yield hits 2002 peak
- 30-year yield highest since 2002
- 10-year up 82 basis points
- Quarterly move largest in four years
0:0210-year· ticker
10-year yield up 82 basis points
- 10-year up 82 basis points
- Most in single quarter in four years
- Term premium rising
0:03crude oil· ticker
Crude oil down 2%
- Crude oil down more than 2%
- Inflation layering on top
- Premium at end of curve up
0:04Treasuries· ticker
Treasuries struggle to rally
- Treasuries unable to rally with bad news
- Portfolio rebalancing duration
- Dealers adjust inventories
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