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Why Someone Just Bought $16.7M in Intel Puts After a 29% Crash
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Breakdown
0:04lesson
Post-election options activity analysis
- Focus on unusual options activity
- Intel and Tesla show bearish sentiment
- Political backdrop influences market
- Distinguish between post-election trade and company-specific trends
1:53INTC· ticker
Intel — bearish, $57.66 is the line
- Intel down 5.3%
- Put activity at 16.66 million
- February 2027 70 puts at 1540
- Break even at 5460
- Bearish sentiment
3:48TSLA· ticker
Tesla — bearish, $352 is the line
- Tesla down 3.8%
- November 20th 360 puts at $8
- Break even at 352
- Short-dated bearish trade
3:49lesson
Corporate news impact on Intel
- Intel Q4 revenue guidance below expectations
- Market took 29% out of shares
- Put buyers stepping up after repricing
- Political uncertainty affecting AI infrastructure
3:50lesson
Tesla's political exposure
- Tesla in blue state
- Regulatory scrutiny possible
- SpaceX combination under review
- Political shift affecting operations
3:51lesson
Analyst target analysis
- Intel consensus target at 9270
- Analyst targets range from 70 to 160
- Barkley cut target from 100 to 75
- City cut target from 130 to 100
3:52INTC· ticker
Intel — bearish, $5460 is the line
- February 70 puts at 1540
- Intrinsic value of $12.34
- Break even at 5460
- Put behaves like short stock
- 5% below execution price
3:53TSLA· ticker
Tesla — bearish, $352 is the line
- November 20th 360 puts at $8
- Break even at 352
- 6% needed in 16 days
- Tactical protection trade
3:54lesson
Signal versus noise analysis
- 16.66 million Intel put activity
- Signal: political uncertainty
- Noise: hedge after 29% decline
- Unclear if trade is new or existing
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