Paid Daily · Resources · Ask Plutus
Does Selling Premium Actually Work Better During the Holidays?
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Testing short premium performance during holidays
- Testing short premium effectiveness during holidays
- Breaking down market differences during holiday periods
- Focusing on risk-to-reward ratio and volatility behavior
1:34lesson
Analyzing SPY strangles during holiday seasons
- Using SPY strangles with 16 delta 45d
- Analyzing data from 2021 to September 2026
- Focusing on November 1st to January 15th as holiday window
3:15lesson
Holiday season market behavior and volatility
- SPY tends to rise 4.5% in 10 weeks during holidays
- 2023-2024 saw 13% rally during holiday season
- Volatility rank is 30+ on 16% of holiday days
5:06lesson
High IV rank and holiday season performance
- Holiday trades win 88% of the time with 2.9% return
- Higher IV rank correlates with better performance
- Historically, elevated IV is rare during holidays
7:00lesson
Holiday season tail risk and market cyclicality
- Holiday season typically has lower tail risk
- Market is different every year, day by day
- Cyclicality affects short premium strategies
8:50lesson
Holiday season as a probability tilt
- November to January historically stronger for premiums
- Higher IV rank setups average 2.9% return
- Using seasonality as supporting factor, not guarantee
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