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We Backtested Legging Out of 0DTE Iron Condors Since 20

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Breakdown

0:00lesson

Zero DTE iron condors popular due to intraday trading

  • Zero DTEs exploded in popularity post PDT
  • Liquid enough for intraday open/close
  • Common strategy: legging out of trades
  • Backtest 20 delta SPX iron condors
1:35lesson

Profit targets skew backtest results

  • 25% profit target applied to all trades
  • Baseline vs legging out compared
  • Buyback thresholds: $0.75, $0.50, $0.25
  • Legging out doesn't meaningfully improve win rate
3:14lesson

Median P&L vs average P&L differences

  • Median P&L remains ~$140 across strategies
  • Averages show more variance
  • Legging out reduces gains but lowers volatility
  • Profit targets act as early exit triggers
5:00lesson

Legging out tradeoffs and recovery risks

  • Earlier legging out sacrifices potential gains
  • Later exits allow for recovery but increase risk
  • Profit targets prevent overexposure
  • Tail risk remains elevated without targets
6:41SPX· ticker

SPX iron condors defined risk positions

  • Baseline strategy shows smallest average loss
  • Recovery periods boost loss averages
  • 2023 market conditions skew results
  • Defined risk positions mitigate max loss
8:23lesson

Optimal buyback thresholds for SPX

  • 75-50 cent buybacks balance growth/volatility
  • Higher thresholds underperform
  • 90% of max value realized before peeling
  • Holding to expiration yields best cumulative returns

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