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Earnings Tonight, Fed Tomorrow: $V $HOOD $STX $NXPI Take Center Stage | Tuesday Oct 27 Live Trading
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00lesson
Tech rally and trend line analysis
- Tech rally up 13%
- Gap from last Wednesday broken
- Next meaningful level is trend line
- Trend line as anchor point
2:21lesson
Trading platform and educational resources
- Tasty Trade platform for data and tools
- Courses for stock, options, futures
- Options trading best-in-class
- Futures and futures best-in-class
4:58Bonds· ticker
Bond recovery and short covering
- V-shaped bond recovery
- Short covering rally
- Net short contracts reduced from 200k to 68k
- Shorts exited at 5.25%
6:29ZV· ticker
ZV position management
- ZV position up at 24 days
- 106-107 strikes blown through
- Two contracts on call spreads
- Risk of drop below 107
8:07lesson
Options trading and risk management
- Options decay curve and risk management
- Reset duration before Fed meeting
- Avoid gamma train over next week
- Take profits before decay
9:46lesson
Fed meeting and market reaction
- Fed meeting at 2 PM
- Worsh press conference at 2:30 PM
- Market reaction to policy statement
- Market reverses and capital graded destroyed
11:31lesson
Market sentiment and price action
- Bearish sentiment despite near highs
- V still low around 1750 range
- Price action validates 6.5% correction
- Non-crisis return distribution
12:53MNQ· ticker
MNQ trade and volatility
- MNQ trade with 45 days
- V spike into halfway mark
- Wash out spread month out
- 4.3% or 3.5% non-crisis vs crisis
14:44KWEB· ticker
KWEB trade and delta management
- Zero extrinsic back ratio synthetic stock
- Long delta close to 100
- Buying power efficiency
- Fraction of cost compared to buying shares
16:18lesson
Retail investor activity and options participation
- Retail investors account for 9% of trading volume
- Single stock trading down 45%
- Options trading nearly doubled
- Retail becoming more educated
17:55HOOD· ticker
HOOD earnings and options strategy
- HOOD at pivot point 90-95
- IVR at 51.8, raw vol 128%
- Dollar-wide strikes for small accounts
- Risk management with 1% budget
19:40Seagate· ticker
Seagate earnings and trade strategy
- Seagate chart busted
- Short call spread due to bad chart
- Risk management with 1% budget
- Expected move around 1661-167
21:11Waste Management· ticker
Waste Management options and risk
- Waste Management three-star liquidity
- 24-day expiration, $10 wide strikes
- Risk management with 1% budget
- Avoiding short iron condor
22:46lesson
Market volatility and risk management
- Volatility and P&L fluctuations
- Risk management with 1% budget
- Dollar-wide strikes for small accounts
- Options as risk management tool
24:22SPY· ticker
SPY options and risk management
- SPY dollar-wide strikes in liquid market
- Risk management with 1% budget
- Options as risk management tool
- Dollar-wide strikes for small accounts
26:01Micron· ticker
Micron trade and position management
- Micron trade with short strikes
- Need to stay above 900
- Credit received on initial trade
- Patience for market recovery
27:25Waste Management· ticker
Waste Management options and risk
- Waste Management three-star liquidity
- 24-day expiration, $10 wide strikes
- Risk management with 1% budget
- Avoiding short iron condor
29:03lesson
Market sentiment and price action
- Market sentiment and price action
- Bearish sentiment despite near highs
- V still low around 1750 range
- Price action validates 6.5% correction
30:46ES· ticker
ES market and dealer wall
- ES pinned at 77 for five hours
- Dealer wall at 77
- Market stuck near 77
- Close expected at 77
33:43lesson
Market analysis and earnings
- AI trade back, Fed meeting, earnings
- Tech leads with AI names
- Energy names down
- Market analysis and earnings
35:30Energy· ticker
Energy sector and market reaction
- Energy names down due to unwind
- Refiners ETF down 3.8%
- Heating oil not moving
- Crude oil coming up
37:45HOOD· ticker
HOOD earnings and options
- HOOD earnings mixed, EPS down 16%
- Revenues up 12%
- Short iron condor with dollar-wide strikes
- Price action around 85-105
39:48Visa· ticker
Visa earnings and market reaction
- Visa earnings beat with 4 cents
- Revenues up 40 million
- Market reaction to earnings
- Political backdrop affecting market
42:27lesson
Geopolitical impact on oil and markets
- Israeli elections affecting oil
- Potential shift in Iran policy
- Geopolitical risk affecting crude oil
- Market reaction to geopolitical events
44:20NXP· ticker
NXP earnings and market reaction
- NXP earnings beat with 2%
- Revenues up 1%
- Market reaction to earnings
- Options trading around 1333
46:28STX· ticker
STX earnings and market reaction
- STX earnings beat with 4 cents
- Revenues up 40 million
- Market reaction to earnings
- Stock down 7% after hours
48:38HOOD· ticker
HOOD earnings and options
- HOOD earnings mixed, EPS down 16%
- Revenues up 12%
- Short iron condor with dollar-wide strikes
- Price action around 85-105
50:40lesson
Market sentiment and price action
- Market sentiment and price action
- Bearish sentiment despite near highs
- V still low around 1750 range
- Price action validates 6.5% correction
52:19Tesla· ticker
Tesla options and market reaction
- Tesla breaking out with 10749
- Options trading around 430
- Market reaction to earnings
- Options as risk management tool
54:13lesson
Market analysis and earnings
- Market analysis and earnings
- Tech stocks coming back into favor
- Small cap stocks coming back into favor
- Barbell strategy with small cap value and mega cap growth
56:10lesson
Market sentiment and price action
- Market sentiment and price action
- Bearish sentiment despite near highs
- V still low around 1750 range
- Price action validates 6.5% correction
58:11lesson
Market analysis and earnings
- Market analysis and earnings
- Tech stocks coming back into favor
- Small cap stocks coming back into favor
- Barbell strategy with small cap value and mega cap growth
59:51lesson
Market sentiment and price action
- Market sentiment and price action
- Bearish sentiment despite near highs
- V still low around 1750 range
- Price action validates 6.5% correction
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