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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00ES· ticker
ES — strong move, CPI/PPI mixed
- 30-year range broken with 53-point surge
- Kevin Worsh press conference bottom
- PPI unchanged at 0 despite rising prices
- TLT up but bond bear market continues
2:09SPY· ticker
SPY — lifetime high, VIX near single digits
- Spider spy lifetime high post-range breakout
- Dow underperforming vs equities
- VIX approaching single digits
- Bullish momentum despite economic data
4:10FXI· ticker
FXI/GLD — reversal, GDX bearish
- FXI March 2027 37 puts active
- GLD reversed from trend line
- GDX down 3% with stop-loss
- XME/XGT ratio suggests underperformance
6:29lesson
Stop-Loss Strategy — real vs mental stops
- Real stops at penny levels vs mental stops
- Workday example: stop-loss executed at 188.72
- Mental stops risk delayed decisions
- Options positions use mental stops
8:46lesson
Chart Adjustments — dividends as splits
- Dividends adjust price data like splits
- Example: $10 stock → $9 post-dividend
- Dashed red lines indicate stop-loss levels
- Alcoa's dividend impact on chart analysis
11:07UNH· ticker
UNH — trend line break, options short
- Long-term trend line broken with retracement
- Short put options outperformed simple shorts
- Reversal pattern suggests further decline
- 1.3% drop with support at 115.26
12:58BTC· ticker
Bitcoin — bearish, MSTR short
- Bitcoin near $60k with bearish pattern
- MSTR short at 2.5% gain
- Equity rally suppressed Bitcoin's decline
- Stop-loss at 60k targets 5-figure drop
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