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Tim Knight Says SpaceX Is Tracking the Facebook IPO Almost Exactly

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ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00INQ· ticker

INQ — powerhouse, bull market to lose

  • No overhead supply
  • Narrative is powerful
  • Fifth green bar in a row
  • Weakness shaken off
  • Breakout level not breached
2:12ES· ticker

ES — close to continuation pattern

  • Bears left to be laid waste
  • Forming continuation pattern
  • Needs more heavy lifting
4:23YM· ticker

YM — Dow 30, peak August 5th

  • Blah blur market
  • Down 173 points
  • Disconnected from others
6:08lesson

Bare market delayed until next year

  • Midterms passed
  • AI IPOs or scuttled
  • Meaningful move next year
  • Short-term optimism for SpaceX
7:46SpaceX· ticker

SpaceX — post-IPO performance

  • Escape from $150 incarceration
  • Analogous to Meta
  • Potential new phase of drop
  • Sea change expected next year
9:44SpaceX· ticker

SpaceX — potential drop to 110-120

  • Ugliness returning in next few months
  • Lock-up of shares upcoming
  • Earnings November 3rd
9:45EUR· ticker

EUR — getting wiped out

  • French yields up
  • Currency getting whacked
  • Not a good situation
9:46ZB· ticker

ZB — sinking day after day

  • Market shrugging at move
  • Train wreck
  • Interest-sensitive items feeling heat
9:47LAR· ticker

LAR — home builder down 5%

  • Home builder down 5%
  • Corporate buybacks analogy
  • Market frowning at buybacks
9:48lesson

Bond situation unresolved

  • Bond situation not getting solved
  • Long calls and short puts
  • Eternity for resolution

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