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tastylive

The Fed Has a 5% Problem

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 2:44
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ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00Oil· ticker

Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline shutdown

  • Houthis strike East-West pipeline
  • 4% global oil supply offline
  • Yanbu has 5-7 days export inventory
  • Hormuz traffic remains depressed
  • Houthi forces in Permian near Bab al-Mandab
1:44Brent· ticker

Brent near 108 reflects supply tightness

  • Brent near 108
  • Supply tightness from repairs
  • Diesel prices to watch
1:4510-year yield· ticker

10-year yield flirting with 5%

  • 10-year yield near 5%
  • Oil above 100
  • Diesel above $6
1:46Equities· ticker

Equities absorb rate hike as insurance

  • Equities absorb rate hike
  • Dot plot implies multiple hikes
  • Pressure on long-duration stocks
1:47Diesel· ticker

Diesel prices above $6

  • Diesel prices above $6
  • Financial conditions tightening
1:48OpenAI· ticker

OpenAI delays IPO for self-improvement

  • OpenAI delays IPO until 2026
  • Self-improvement as priority
  • Freedom to slow training
1:49Anthropic· ticker

Anthropic and OpenAI create entry barriers

  • AI sell-off as duopoly creates barriers
  • Market cap swings possible for public companies

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