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Ted Parkhill: How to Trade Trends Like a Pro

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 17:18
Chapters11 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Systematic hybrid strategy

  • Systematic macro strategy trades futures and equities
  • Two alpha engines: futures and equities
  • Hybrid approach differentiates from typical managed futures
1:33lesson

Systematic equity trading

  • Systematic equity trading with short index overlay
  • Embedded leverage in futures
  • Futures provide better buying power than equities
3:25lesson

Futures math and risk

  • Futures control large underlying value with small margin
  • 20% gain on $5k margin with $1 price move
  • Futures trading is risky due to leverage
5:19lesson

Crude oil market analysis

  • Crude oil back month at 87.90 with 9 days left
  • Backwardation in crude oil
  • Higher for longer in oil markets
6:59lesson

Trend following discipline

  • Trend followers maintain discipline
  • War volatility creates choppy markets
  • Follow trend until it's over
8:45lesson

Systematic trend following

  • Discipline to stick with trend
  • Edward as internal check for emotional decisions
  • Avoid second-guessing trend following
10:22lesson

Gold and bond market trends

  • Gold trend faded after strong move
  • Flat position in non-trending markets
  • Short bonds due to rising rates
12:11lesson

Non-correlated returns and AI

  • Non-correlated return streams are hard to find
  • Use AI and machine learning for research
  • Trend following is pragmatic in uncertain markets
13:55lesson

Volatility and position sizing

  • Position size based on volatility
  • Same initial risk across different markets
  • Volatility is a key factor in trading
15:34lesson

Market diversification and trends

  • Track 75 global markets, trade 20-30
  • Focus on trending markets
  • Systematic approach to find directional moves
17:14lesson

Hockey team and market insights

  • Winnipeg Jets fan
  • Interest in commodity markets from Winnipeg exchange
  • John Henry's influence on quantitative investing

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