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Gold Held the Line as Bonds Broke Down. Can It Survive CPI?
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:09WTI· ticker
Crude oil surging 6% to 102
- Crude oil surging 6%
- Reaching 102
- Upper half of wartime range
2:51Fed funds futures· ticker
Policy expectations shift
- 39 basis points baked in
- 74% chance of September hike
- 80.3% chance by December
5:36Bonds· ticker
Bond auction results
- 30-year auction swimmingly
- Strong demand for bonds
- Treasury buys 5.2 billion
8:08PPI· ticker
PPI data hotter than expected
- 5.4% year-on-year
- Hotter than 5.3% expected
- Month-on-month rise bigger than April
10:52CPI· ticker
CPI data expected to rise
- Monthly increase 0.4%
- Headline 3.4% year-on-year
- Core rate down to 2.4%
13:25S&P 500· ticker
S&P 500 breaks range
- Breaking bottom of range
- Opening door for downside
- Range since early August
13:26NASDAQ· ticker
NASDAQ holds range
- Holding 29,000 range
- Still within range
- Market risk-off
13:27US Dollar· ticker
Dollar stronger against some currencies
- Dollar stronger today
- Euro soggier
- Australian dollar weaker
13:28Gold· ticker
Gold resilience amid market shifts
- Gold resilient
- Dollar attempts to rally
- Cap on debasement trade
13:29PCE· ticker
PCE data showing disinflation
- Headline numbers elevated
- Core readings turning toward disinflation
- Annualized three-month readings
13:30Treasury· ticker
Treasury buyback effort
- Treasury buys 5.2 billion
- Offered 10.5 billion
- Selective buyback
13:31Front end of the curve· ticker
Focus shifting to front end
- Shift to front end of curve
- Response to oil and PPI
- Treasury Secretary's line in the sand
13:32CPI· ticker
CPI data and market reaction
- Possibility of buy the rumor, sell the news
- CPI not moving rate hikes
- Dollar sells off, gold rallies
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