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The Semiconductor Channel Just Broke for the First Time

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 27:28
Chapters13 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Market review and position adjustments

  • Celebrating a strong week with 30 positions
  • Trimmed to 16 positions due to nervousness
  • Building positions back to 30
  • Margin at 150% vs 207% previously
  • Weekend nervousness due to POTUS potential actions
2:19SPY· ticker

Spider — failed trend line and bearish engulfing pattern

  • Broken trend line with failed reversal
  • Bearish engulfing pattern confirmed
  • Seasonality ignored due to bizarro market conditions
  • September is most bearish month
  • October expected to be bullish but not yet
4:29XLK· ticker

XLK — island reversal pattern and failed channel

  • Island reversal pattern confirmed
  • Failed channel for SMH
  • AI bubble deflating
  • CoreWeave chart with inconsistent patterns
  • Cabris at lifetime lows with 70% drop
6:34Dow· ticker

Dow — failed Fibonacci and bearish engulfing pattern

  • Dow shorted due to strength
  • Bearish engulfing pattern confirmed
  • Trend line broken with new price gaps
  • KU down 10%
  • Corweave as a pig with no follow-through
9:06EM· ticker

EM — lower lows and trend line analysis

  • EM trading below yesterday's low
  • South Korea contributing to weakness
  • Wiggles down with potential to stick
  • Mexico up as a second bite at the apple
  • Failed symmetric triangle with potential breakout
10:57XLF· ticker

XLF — banking sector skepticism and trend line analysis

  • XLF below blue trend line
  • Banking sector distrust due to socialism
  • Earnings season with JP Morgan and Wells Fargo
  • Cool stuff like Tesla and Netflix coming next
  • Precious metals not collapsing but under pressure
13:15Bitcoin· ticker

Bitcoin — range-bound and junk equity references

  • Bitcoin stuck with no movement
  • Junk equities like American Bitcoin and Strive
  • Strategy Inc. down 1.5%
  • MSTR kicked out of major index
  • Oil strong due to war continuation
15:20TLT· ticker

TLT — bond market and put buying

  • TLT topped yesterday
  • Put buying for January 44 puts
  • Interest-sensitive sector potential U-turn
  • XLU January 44 puts as hedge
  • Election impact on market sentiment
17:33AXT Inc· ticker

AXT Inc — breakdown and candlestick patterns

  • AXT Inc. down 8%
  • Shooting star candlestick pattern
  • Corning (GLW) peak with shooting star
  • Quantum Ion down over 8%
  • Price gaps as key support/resistance
19:59Micron· ticker

Micron — gap analysis and bearish engulfing

  • Micron down 5%
  • Gap too far for comfort
  • Bearish engulfing pattern confirmed
  • Planet Labs (PL) down 70%
  • Synopsis continuing to do well
22:26MongoDB· ticker

MongoDB — messy chart and bearish engulfing

  • MongoDB down 8%
  • Bearish engulfing pattern
  • Rocket Lab down 8% due to delayed rocket
  • ETF UFO with enormous top
  • Satellite and space sector weakness
25:03Seagate· ticker

Seagate — trend line and gap analysis

  • Seagate (STX) from 60s to 1000 in 14 months
  • Beautiful top with trend line
  • Gap between Wednesday and Thursday
  • Potential for further downside
  • Rangebound for a while
27:18lesson

Summary of the week and market outlook

  • Great week with many failures and reversals
  • Trend lines affirmed as resistance
  • Expectations for a good ending to the week
  • Weekend nervousness due to POTUS potential actions
  • Back on Monday with hope for no crazy news

Informational only — this is tastylive’s content, decoded by Plutus. Not Paid Daily’s advice or a recommendation. The outline, timestamps, and claims are extracted from what the creator said; verify before acting.