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Tim Knight Says the Semiconductor Reversal Has Finally Arrived

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 10:57
Chapters6 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00BTC· ticker

Bitcoin — bearish, $60k is the line

  • Breached horizontal line, likely close below
  • Former high, stalled for weeks
  • Support level round about there
  • CPI data could break it
  • Slow descent, no net change
2:11SMH· ticker

SMH — shorted, 2% down

  • Bought SMH puts, shorted SMH
  • Down 2%, respecting downtrend
  • KORU down 8%
  • Triple bullish leveraged on South Korea
  • Fair bit of green on screen
4:19lesson

Profitability vs. labor share

  • Tech companies exceptionally profitable
  • Labor share getting lower
  • Not sustainable long-term
  • Political pressure for labor share
  • K-shaped recovery
6:14YM· ticker

YM — biggest short, 3000 points down

  • Neglected YM, biggest short
  • Near top of screen bar, good timing
  • Nice tumble, sticking with it
  • Taking profits on Pinterest
  • CPI data point risk
7:57Crude· ticker

Crude — steady at $100, psychological level

  • Crude steady at $100
  • Inventories depleting
  • Iranian conflict prolonging
  • Potential $110, $120, $130
  • Ceasefire not expected
9:57Bitcoin· ticker

Bitcoin — $67k target, gold at $4200

  • Bitcoin slipped 4 days
  • Target $67k, gold at $4200
  • Costco has gold/silver
  • Equities down, Bitcoin down
  • Gold as safe haven

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