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Tim Knight Breaks Down the Three Things That Made Him Short China

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ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Analyzing FXI chart for bearish trade

  • Chart focused on FXI, ETF for Chinese stock market
  • Three key factors analyzed: rounded tops, trend line, political correlation
  • History of rounded tops followed by meaningful drops
  • Trend line as support turned resistance
  • Low correlation between FXI and U.S. markets
2:01lesson

Trend line as support turned resistance

  • Trend line covered entire history as support
  • Failed in 2022 with dramatic rally below it
  • Blue line and price peak close, strong resistance
  • Political factors: U.S. market subject to election interference
  • FXI immune to U.S. political issues
4:11lesson

Downtrend timeline and target projection

  • Downtrend took months from top to bottom
  • 2 months passed since peak, price down 2%
  • Target around 27 on FXI by early next year
  • Hanging index shows broader downtrend
  • Descending trend line with lower highs

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