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Someone Put $76 Million in Calls on Google and Apple, One Timed Terribly
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:04GOOGL· ticker
Alphabet — $76M calls, 21% down from May highs
- $76M calls in Alphabet
- 21% down from May highs
- Earnings report showed better service growth
- AI mode queries impact monetization
- Search revenue up 12%
1:57AAPL· ticker
Apple — $76M calls, 40x earnings, 5.1T market cap
- $76M calls in Apple
- Trading at 40x earnings
- 5.1T market cap
- Earnings report next Monday
- New CEO since Tim Cook departed
3:56GOOGL· ticker
Alphabet — 360 call, 40.93M premium, 3.3x open interest
- January 15th 360 call traded 40.93M
- Volume 3.3x open interest
- 56% printed on the floor
- Break even at 36818
- 14.8% above current price
5:57AAPL· ticker
Apple — 380 call, 35.28M premium, 4.4x open interest
- January 15th 380 call traded 35.28M
- Volume 4.4x open interest
- 21% printed on the floor
- Break even at 38489
- 10.9% above current price
5:58GOOGL· ticker
Alphabet — 127.6B revenue, 25% YoY, 12% search growth
- Revenue 127.6B up 25% YoY
- Search revenue up 12%
- AI mode queries impact monetization
- Cloud revenue 30.7B up 103%
- Operating income 11.1B up 208%
5:59AAPL· ticker
Apple — 347 trading, 35173 record, 40x earnings
- Trading around 347
- Closed at 343 down $3.30
- Close to 35173 record
- 40x earnings valuation
- Market rewarding low capex
6:00GOOGL· ticker
Alphabet — 360 call, 429 target, 36818 break even
- Average target around 429
- 360 call break even at 36818
- Fundamental argument for cloud growth
- Search monetization concerns
- AI spending translating to cloud revenue
6:01AAPL· ticker
Apple — 380 call, 329 target, 385 break even
- Average target 329 below current price
- 380 call needs 385
- Goldman upgraded to 390
- Consensus view below current price
- Earnings report needs to justify valuation
6:02lesson
Signal vs. Noise — evaluating options activity
- Signal vs. Noise: evaluating options activity
- Alphabet call buyers may have identified fundamental shift
- Apple call buyers need to justify high valuation
- Earnings reports critical for both
- Consensus view vs. actual fundamentals
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