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Todd Gordon Is Still Bullish After the First Hike in Three Years

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Chapters7 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Introducing Todd Gordon

  • Chris introduces Todd Gordon
  • Todd was senior technical strategist at Forex.com
  • Todd is co-founder of Inside Edge Capital
  • Todd founded trading analysis.com
1:39lesson

Market Trends and Technical Analysis

  • S&P 500 shows sideways movement
  • NASDAQ down by 2%
  • Bitcoin down by half
  • Todd discusses long-term trend lines
  • Fear, inflation, geopolitical risk remain
3:18lesson

Risk Management and Intermarket Relationships

  • Short-term rates moving up
  • Two-year yield above five-year
  • Value stocks outperforming growth
  • VTV VUG ratio going sideways
  • AI valuations under scrutiny
5:01lesson

Volatility and Market Regime Change

  • VIX at 18.06, highest since July
  • Regime change in low volatility
  • Seasonality from August 31st to election day
  • Global macro move up in rates
  • Revaluation of asset valuations
6:38lesson

Real Yields and Inflation Expectations

  • Real yields at 2.6%
  • Inflation expectations not rising
  • Term premium compensation
  • Two-year yield forcing Fed's hand
  • Value vs. growth performance
8:18lesson

Portfolio Allocation and Market Outlook

  • 10-year nominal yield at 2.3%
  • Break-even inflation at 2.4%
  • Real yields remain stable
  • Value growth ratio dropping
  • Growth stocks continue to outperform
10:06lesson

Long-Term Strategy and Portfolio Hedging

  • Seasonality is real
  • Global macro markets reset
  • Rates should be higher
  • Portfolio hedging and cash raising
  • Focus on bigger picture

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