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A Trader's Trick: Stocks With Earnings Often Snap Back to Unchanged.
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ticker lesson
Breakdown
0:00Hilton· ticker
Hilton — short on pull-up, back stop at high
- Short on pull-up before earnings
- Back stop at high to capture revert
- Avoid shorting at opening
- Wait for first down tick
- Target unchanged level
1:50lesson
Back stop and risk/reward framework
- Back stop defined as prior move high
- Trailing stop crosses under ATR
- Risk/reward gauged by range
- Closer entry = larger position size
3:42Hilton· ticker
Hilton liquidity and trade sizing
- Volume limits trade size
- 50 shares = $125 profit
- Avoid large positions without tight stops
- Range ~60 cents
5:38Sherwin Williams· ticker
Sherwin Williams — sloppier structure
- Daily chart lacks clear structure
- Resistance levels not aligned
- Avoided due to volatility
- Watch list screening by ES movement
5:39lesson
Pre-announcement volatility plays
- Pre-earnings trades avoid guesswork
- IBM example: unchanged post-announcement
- Short-term charts time long ideas
- Stewie pattern = inverse head and shoulders
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