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Tim Knight Is Short 30 Stocks Into the Fed's Rate Decision

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 15:53
Chapters12 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00ES· ticker

ES — resistance line, support level, CPI impact

  • ES line defining chart
  • Resistance turned support
  • Three red bars challenge
  • CPI number may trigger move
  • Progress made back to prior level
2:05ENQ· ticker

ENQ — downtrend, range-bound, valuation concerns

  • ENQ in downtrend since June
  • Three dogeis in a row
  • 0.07% down
  • AI-driven excitement vs valuation concerns
  • No earnings to influence
3:59diamonds· ticker

Diamonds — dull trade, trend line break

  • Core trade is dull
  • Bar smashed against broken trend line
  • Dip after entry
  • Bifurcated market
  • Potential profit-taking
6:02lesson

Market correlation and divergence

  • Correlation between S&P and NASDAQ
  • Divergence in performance
  • Use of correlations for prediction
  • Longer horizon swing trading
  • Bottoms up approach
7:59lesson

Trading approach and position management

  • Long-term swing trading
  • 1000 charts daily
  • 30 short positions
  • Stop-loss fine-tuned
  • Bottoms up technique
9:45Bitcoin· ticker

Bitcoin — phases, support levels, precious metals

  • Bitcoin phases: dull, explosive, languid
  • Waiting for 67,000 to trigger precious metals
  • Stuck at 79,000
  • Gold stabilized at 4,400
  • Rectangle as base for potential drop
11:50Gold· ticker

Gold — bullish, fiat hedge, correlation with Bitcoin

  • Gold as inflation hedge
  • Gold vs equities ratio charts
  • Gold breakout in chart
  • Gold as clear trade
  • Interlocked with silver
13:45Silver· ticker

Silver — strong, rectangle, potential sell-off

  • Silver up 3%
  • Own rectangle pattern
  • Potential sell-off or cheap levels
  • Interlocked with gold
  • Correlation with gold
15:30Meta· ticker

Meta — gap trade, AI-driven rally, short position

  • Meta rallied from 540 to 650
  • Shorted with stop at 661
  • Long-term downtrend
  • AI-driven exuberance
  • Half position closed
15:31Brent Crude· ticker

Brent Crude — $100 level, macro picture

  • Brent crude above $100
  • Uptrend continues with bad news
  • Interesting macro picture
  • USD/JPY sinking
  • Bessant's declaration impact
15:32USD/JPY· ticker

USD/JPY — fib levels, support, interest rates

  • USD/JPY sinking
  • January lows at 152
  • Fib levels as support
  • Interest rates impact
  • Japan's rate hike effect
15:33lesson

Chart analysis and market dynamics

  • Fib-friendly chart
  • Support and resistance relationships
  • Market gods listening to declarations
  • Zoom out for support levels
  • Trend line breakdown

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