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The 18-Year Semiconductor Run May Be Over | Tim Knight's SMH Put Strategy
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Breakdown
0:00lesson
Semiconductor Sector Overview
- White-hot 2026
- ETFs like SOXL
- Leveraged instruments
- Trend exhaustion signs
2:12SOXL· ticker
SOXL — Leveraged Semiconductor ETF
- 2022, 2024, 2026 tops
- March 2026 breakout
- Energy depleting highs
- Recent ground loss
4:12Applied Materials· ticker
Applied Materials — Perma Razor
- Generational wealth
- Steady bull market
- Rounded base
- Dramatic higher highs/lows
6:14ADI· ticker
Analog Devices — Perma Razor
- Big bull market
- Huge base
- Blast to lifetime highs
- Signs of exhaustion
8:13AAOI· ticker
Applied Optoelectronics — Topping Pattern
- History of topping/dropping
- Recent breakdown
- Nice rounded top
- Currently short
8:14AMD· ticker
AMD — Stalling Rally
- Thousands of percent gain
- Days ago lifetime high
- Hanging around range
- No blast to highs
8:15ARM Holdings· ticker
ARM Holdings — Gap Dip
- Dramatic gap
- Lifetime high
- Gap resistance point
- Shorting opportunity
8:16AVGO· ticker
Broadcom — Lower High Set
- Lower high pattern
- Resistance point
- Long drop
- Rally potential
8:17AXT Inc.· ticker
AXT Inc. — Inverted Cup Pattern
- Inverted cup with handle
- Completed pattern
- Breakdown
- Currently short
8:18SOXS· ticker
SOXS — Inverse ETF Degradation
- Inverse of SOXL
- Signs of life
- Tends to degrade
- Day trading only
8:19SOX· ticker
SOX Index — 18-Year Bull Market
- 18-year rally
- Exceptionally lofty
- Price gap turn
- Potential reversal
8:20SMH· ticker
SMH — January 2027 Puts
- Long January 2027 puts
- Tight stop
- Price gap support
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