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Anne-Marie Baiynd Says 100 Years of Data Point to a Mid-October Dip

NowPress play to follow along0:00 / 13:31
Chapters7 segments · tap to seek
ticker lesson

Breakdown

0:00lesson

Seasonality and market dynamics

  • Seasonality overlooked by options traders
  • Deltas, gammas, vegas moving
  • October 15th buybacks lift market
  • Market not responding to bonds
  • Yields buoy market if relief seen
2:14lesson

Market pullbacks and volatility

  • Weak spot between October 2nd-12th
  • Pullbacks are buy zones
  • Thin volume profile on MEES/ES
  • Dollar rising to north
  • Volatility expected into expiration week
4:31lesson

Market fundamentals and tech stocks

  • Crude oil at 90, curve flat
  • Longest contract at 8250
  • Tech stocks face high expectations
  • Midterms in less than a month
  • Systemic flows expected
6:43lesson

Trading strategies and market flows

  • Buy dips if bullish
  • Buy weakest if bearish
  • Dow and YM under pressure
  • Dollar affecting exports
  • Manage flows for volatility
8:39lesson

Market rotation and asymmetric bets

  • Price to book/earnings at 15-20 year lows
  • High ticks with exit liquidity
  • Upgrades of beaten down stocks
  • Asymmetric Paul Tudor Jones bet
  • Sell put, rotate into call
10:51lesson

Technical analysis and candlestick patterns

  • Watch opening and closing candles
  • RTH open under candlesticks = short
  • Support line on MEES
  • First bounce pass is short
  • Candles give value and perspective
12:55lesson

Trading discipline and market observation

  • Opening and closing candles guide trades
  • Everything runs around candle patterns
  • Trading discipline in volatile markets
  • Observation of market flows
  • Strategic trading through volatility

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